L’École des cotes

Aris Thessaloniki v AE Kifisia FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aris Thessaloniki (Local)

Prévision 52.64%1.90cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -2.01%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.99%52.68%52.58%54.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.741.751.8363.29%57.40%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AE Kifisia FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.01%5.00cote équitable
EV +4.04%
Avantage +0.776%
Kelly +0.961%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.07%19.87%20.09%21.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.584.505.2024.39%21.83%22.22%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.36%3.66cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.655%
Kelly -0.910%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.14%27.45%27.33%28.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.303.5733.33%30.18%30.30%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 54.30%EV -8.94%E -5.17%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV +4.04%E +0.776%K +0.961%G +0.039%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 15:40
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.49%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +2.04%E +0.399%K +0.497%G +0.010%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -8.36%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 16:40
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.99%E -5.84%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +2.04%E +0.399%K +0.497%G +0.010%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 13:04
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV +0.036%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.50%EV -9.18%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV +0.036%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.50%EV -9.18%E -2.76%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 16:35
Suprabets1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.83%E -3.86%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV +0.036%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 16:42
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.36%E -4.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -1.96%E -0.401%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -1.96%E -0.401%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 14:15
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.36%E -4.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.25%EV -3.36%E -0.697%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.92%EV -8.90%E -2.67%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 16:34
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -3.97%E -0.826%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 16:43
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 10:54
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.47%E -5.50%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 13:05
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -4.97%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 14:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -8.41%E -4.83%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.90%EV -5.77%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.25%EV -2.34%E -0.655%K -0.910%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 16:49
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.83%E -3.86%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -5.97%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 10:55
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -6.31%E -3.54%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 16:29
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -8.41%E -4.83%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.36%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 16:50
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -7.97%E -1.73%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 10:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 16:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 16:34
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 16:35
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 16:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 16:35
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 16:35
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -9.97%E -2.21%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 10:55
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.49%EV -12.10%E -7.24%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.08%EV -10.97%E -2.46%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.43%EV -7.54%E -2.23%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 16:30
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -5.25%E -2.92%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -11.97%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 11:55
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.22%EV -8.41%E -4.83%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.97%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -8.36%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 16:34
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.97%EV -14.20%E -8.71%K -22.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.62%EV -11.97%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -13.83%E -4.39%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 16:44
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.03%EV -16.83%E -10.65%K -29.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.04%EV -11.97%E -2.72%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.93%EV -17.93%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-22 16:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.47%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -12.97%E -2.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 16:35
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -10.52%E -6.19%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.48%EV -12.10%E -7.24%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.86%EV -13.37%E -3.09%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.66%EV -17.93%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-21 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -8.41%E -4.83%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -13.97%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 16:34
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 11:55
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 52.55%EV -13.68%E -8.34%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.52%EV -15.97%E -3.80%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-22 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.11%EV -11.57%E -6.89%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -17.97%E -4.38%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-22 16:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.81%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.61%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-02-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.61%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-02-22 16:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-02-22 16:50