Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AEK Athens v Levadiakos

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AEK Athens (Local)

Prediction 64.89%1.54fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -9.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.85%64.83%64.98%66.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.421.431.4776.92%70.52%69.93%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Levadiakos (Visit)

Prediction 13.63%7.34fair odd
EV +3.57%
Edge +0.470%
Kelly +0.541%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 7.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.36%13.65%13.52%15.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.696.757.6017.39%14.96%14.81%13.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.49%4.65fair odd
EV +0.981%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.08%21.52%21.50%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.174.104.7027.03%23.97%24.39%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEK Athens (Local): 64.89%; Levadiakos (Visit): 13.63%; Draw: 21.49%. For Levadiakos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.34. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV +3.57%E +0.470%K +0.541%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:19
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.03%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV +2.21%E +0.294%K +0.339%G +0.007%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:24
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +2.21%E +0.294%K +0.339%G +0.007%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -6.97%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 17:38
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -5.91%E -4.08%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.84%EV +1.52%E +0.205%K +0.236%G +0.004%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.21%EV -3.10%E -0.688%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:40
Suprabets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.41%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.99%EV -1.88%E -0.261%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.97%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.23%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -2.24%E -0.493%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.23%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -2.24%E -0.493%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.32%E -0.737%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV +0.981%E +0.209%K +0.265%G +0.003%6.0%2026-02-22 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -5.91%E -4.08%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 17:24
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 10:54
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:55
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:55
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 17:25
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -5.97%E -0.865%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -4.60%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.69%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -6.97%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 17:36
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.20%EV -11.10%E -8.11%K -30.01%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.53%EV -10.06%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 17:38
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 17:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 17:39
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 17:30
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 17:39
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.10%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -12.78%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.26%EV -9.81%E -7.06%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -12.78%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.52%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 17:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 64.13%EV -15.65%E -12.04%K -52.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.34%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.53%EV -20.50%E -5.54%K -7.59%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-22 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.64%EV -13.70%E -10.30%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.87%EV -15.51%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.49%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-22 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 63.79%EV -12.40%E -9.19%K -35.43%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 14.24%EV -17.55%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 21.97%EV -15.78%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 17:54
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:40
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -10.46%E -7.58%K -27.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -19.60%E -3.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-22 17:39
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.85%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.06%EV -21.64%E -3.76%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -19.43%E -5.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-22 17:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.72%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.72%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.72%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.72%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-02-22 17:50