La escuela de los momios

AEK Athens v Levadiakos

Inicio: 2026-02-22 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AEK Athens (Local)

Predicción 64.89%1.54momio equitativo
EV -4.62%
Ventaja -3.14%
Kelly -9.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.85%64.83%64.98%66.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.421.431.4776.92%70.52%69.93%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Levadiakos (Visitante)

Predicción 13.63%7.34momio equitativo
EV +3.57%
Ventaja +0.470%
Kelly +0.541%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.36%13.65%13.52%15.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.696.757.6017.39%14.96%14.81%13.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.49%4.65momio equitativo
EV +0.981%
Ventaja +0.209%
Kelly +0.265%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.08%21.52%21.50%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.174.104.7027.03%23.97%24.39%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.38%EV +3.57%E +0.470%K +0.541%G +0.019%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:19
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.03%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV +2.21%E +0.294%K +0.339%G +0.007%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:24
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +2.21%E +0.294%K +0.339%G +0.007%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -6.97%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 17:38
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -5.91%E -4.08%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.84%EV +1.52%E +0.205%K +0.236%G +0.004%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.21%EV -3.10%E -0.688%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 17:40
Suprabets1.43I 69.93%NM 65.41%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.99%EV -1.88%E -0.261%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.97%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 17:39
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.23%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -2.24%E -0.493%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.23%EV -4.62%E -3.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -2.24%E -0.493%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 17:39
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -3.32%E -0.737%K -0.947%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 17:40
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV +0.981%E +0.209%K +0.265%G +0.003%6.0%2026-02-22 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -5.91%E -4.08%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 17:39
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 17:24
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 10:54
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:55
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:55
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 10:54
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 17:50
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.03%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 17:20
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -4.61%E -0.658%K -0.768%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 17:25
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.55%EV -5.97%E -0.865%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.06%EV -4.60%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 17:50
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 64.69%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -6.97%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 17:36
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 10:54
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.88%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 17:20
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -8.02%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 10:55
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.20%EV -11.10%E -8.11%K -30.01%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.53%EV -10.06%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 17:38
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.61%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 17:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 17:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 17:39
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 17:30
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 17:39
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 17:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.42%E -1.76%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 16:45
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.10%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -12.78%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.26%EV -9.81%E -7.06%K -25.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -12.78%E -2.00%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.52%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 17:39
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.13%EV -15.65%E -12.04%K -52.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.34%EV -14.83%E -2.37%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.53%EV -20.50%E -5.54%K -7.59%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-22 17:25
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.64%EV -13.70%E -10.30%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.87%EV -15.51%E -2.50%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.49%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-22 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 63.79%EV -12.40%E -9.19%K -35.43%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 14.24%EV -17.55%E -2.90%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 21.97%EV -15.78%E -4.02%K -5.40%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 17:54
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.56%E -4.56%K -14.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 17:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -18.24%E -3.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -10.46%E -7.58%K -27.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -19.60%E -3.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-22 17:39
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.85%EV -9.16%E -6.54%K -22.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.06%EV -21.64%E -3.76%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -19.43%E -5.18%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-22 17:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.72%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.72%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.72%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-02-22 17:50
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.72%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.96%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-02-22 17:50