Language:English
AEK Athens v AE Kifisia FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEK Athens (Local)
Prediction 78.76%1.27fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -3.88%
Kelly -22.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.06%78.79%78.60%80.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.171.181.2193.46%85.71%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AE Kifisia FC (Visit)
Prediction 7.14%14.01fair odd
EV +9.40%
Edge +0.613%
Kelly +0.656%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 15.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.22%7.22%7.13%8.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.6013.0015.3310.00%7.94%7.69%6.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.10%7.09fair odd
EV +5.75%
Edge +0.766%
Kelly +0.884%
Growth +0.051%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%14.00%14.27%15.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.556.456.507.5018.02%15.51%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEK Athens (Local): 78.76%; AE Kifisia FC (Visit): 7.14%; Draw: 14.10%. For AE Kifisia FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.01. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.86%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 15.33I 6.52%NM 6.22%EV +9.40%E +0.613%K +0.656%G +0.062% | 7.39I 13.53%NM 12.91%EV +4.20%E +0.568%K +0.657%G +0.028% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.85%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 15.30I 6.54%NM 6.24%EV +9.18%E +0.600%K +0.642%G +0.059% | 7.39I 13.53%NM 12.91%EV +4.20%E +0.568%K +0.657%G +0.028% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -4.12%E -0.606%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -4.12%E -0.606%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -8.63%E -7.44%K -53.96%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.92%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -4.12%E -0.606%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.51%EV -11.00%E -9.73%K -84.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 16:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.65%EV -11.78%E -10.52%K -98.20%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.45%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.21%E -8.96%K -72.92%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.40%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.75%E +0.766%K +0.884%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.75%E +0.766%K +0.884%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -5.48%E -4.57%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.59%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-22 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.61%EV -12.57%E -11.33%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.59%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-22 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -10.80%E -0.864%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 16:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -10.80%E -0.864%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -10.80%E -0.864%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 78.81%EV -14.15%E -12.98%K -157.19%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 6.87%EV -10.80%E -0.864%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.40%EV -10.21%E -8.96%K -72.92%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.30%EV -12.58%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -4.70%E -3.88%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-22 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.75%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -12.58%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-22 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 79.34%EV -15.72%E -14.69%K -224.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.07%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.58%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-22 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.58%EV -5.48%E -4.57%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -17.93%E -1.56%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.14%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -21.50%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -21.50%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.76%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.02%EV -21.50%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.22%EV -18.22%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.44%EV -11.00%E -9.73%K -84.59%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.00%EV -22.93%E -2.12%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 15.56%EV -21.75%E -3.92%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.68%EV -11.00%E -9.73%K -84.59%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.25%EV -25.07%E -2.39%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.07%EV -18.93%E -3.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-22 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.31% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.31% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.31% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.23% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.92% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.05% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.43% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.52% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 16:50 |