La escuela de los momios

AEK Athens v AE Kifisia FC

Inicio: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AEK Athens (Local)

Predicción 78.76%1.27momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -3.88%
Kelly -22.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.06%78.79%78.60%80.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.171.181.2193.46%85.71%84.75%82.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AE Kifisia FC (Visitante)

Predicción 7.14%14.01momio equitativo
EV +9.40%
Ventaja +0.613%
Kelly +0.656%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.22%7.22%7.13%8.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.0012.6013.0015.3310.00%7.94%7.69%6.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.10%7.09momio equitativo
EV +5.75%
Ventaja +0.766%
Kelly +0.884%
Crecimiento +0.051%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.69%14.00%14.27%15.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.556.456.507.5018.02%15.51%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 80.86%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%15.33I 6.52%NM 6.22%EV +9.40%E +0.613%K +0.656%G +0.062%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.91%EV +4.20%E +0.568%K +0.657%G +0.028%4.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.85%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%15.30I 6.54%NM 6.24%EV +9.18%E +0.600%K +0.642%G +0.059%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.91%EV +4.20%E +0.568%K +0.657%G +0.028%4.8%2026-03-22 16:44
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -4.12%E -0.606%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:39
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -4.12%E -0.606%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:40
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:34
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 15:24
Suprabets1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:35
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -8.63%E -7.44%K -53.96%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 10:14
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.92%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.52%EV -4.12%E -0.606%K -0.711%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:54
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 80.51%EV -11.00%E -9.73%K -84.59%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 16:53
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.65%EV -11.78%E -10.52%K -98.20%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.45%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -1.30%E -0.186%K -0.217%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.21%E -8.96%K -72.92%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.40%EV -0.094%E -0.007%K -0.007%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:35
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.75%E +0.766%K +0.884%G +0.051%5.1%2026-03-22 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 79.99%EV -6.27%E -5.27%K -33.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.32%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.75%E +0.766%K +0.884%G +0.051%5.1%2026-03-22 16:34
1xBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -5.48%E -4.57%K -27.42%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:55
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:30
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:34
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:34
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:45
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:44
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:45
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:45
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:15
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.59%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.95%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 10:20
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 79.61%EV -12.57%E -11.33%K -114.29%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.80%EV -7.23%E -0.556%K -0.603%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.59%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -10.80%E -0.864%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:44
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -10.80%E -0.864%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.08%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -10.80%E -0.864%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 78.81%EV -14.15%E -12.98%K -157.19%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 6.87%EV -10.80%E -0.864%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-22 16:34
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 78.40%EV -10.21%E -8.96%K -72.92%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.30%EV -12.58%E -1.03%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 16:39
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -4.70%E -3.88%K -22.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 16:30
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-22 16:14
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 77.84%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:55
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.75%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -12.58%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 15:24
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 78.14%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 16:45
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 79.34%EV -15.72%E -14.69%K -224.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.07%EV -14.37%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.58%EV -11.88%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-22 16:54
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 77.58%EV -5.48%E -4.57%K -27.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV -17.93%E -1.56%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.35%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.14%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -21.50%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -4.83%E -0.715%K -0.839%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 16:14
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 76.84%EV -7.85%E -6.71%K -46.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -21.50%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 76.76%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.02%EV -21.50%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.22%EV -18.22%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.44%EV -11.00%E -9.73%K -84.59%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.00%EV -22.93%E -2.12%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 15.56%EV -21.75%E -3.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-22 16:50
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 76.68%EV -11.00%E -9.73%K -84.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.25%EV -25.07%E -2.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.07%EV -18.93%E -3.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-22 16:55
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -7.06%E -5.98%K -39.21%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -9.42%E -8.19%K -62.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -28.64%E -2.86%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -15.40%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-22 16:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.31%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.35%1.2%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.31%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.35%1.2%2026-03-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.31%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.34%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.35%1.2%2026-03-22 16:50
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.23%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.92%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-03-22 16:30
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.05%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.43%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.52%2.4%2026-03-22 16:50