Language:English
AE Kifisia FC v PAOK Thessaloniki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AE Kifisia FC (Local)
Prediction 12.42%8.05fair odd
EV +2.45%
Edge +0.297%
Kelly +0.338%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 8.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.49%12.55%12.39%16.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.507.177.008.2518.18%13.95%14.29%12.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit)
Prediction 66.77%1.50fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -8.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.66%66.75%66.87%69.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.381.381.4480.65%72.68%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.82%4.80fair odd
EV +12.41%
Edge +2.30%
Kelly +2.82%
Growth +0.350%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.48%20.70%20.74%23.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.394.335.4026.67%22.80%23.09%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AE Kifisia FC (Local): 12.42%; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visit): 66.77%; Draw: 20.82%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV -10.59%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.41%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +12.41%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.350% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV -10.59%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.41%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +12.41%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.350% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -8.53%E -6.23%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -1.12%E -0.237%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 17:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.91I 12.64%NM 12.13%EV -1.77%E -0.224%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.55%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.32%EV -1.75%E -0.370%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.74%EV -5.86%E -4.16%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -2.16%E -0.461%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.74%EV -5.86%E -4.16%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -2.16%E -0.461%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.16%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.78%EV -1.27%E -0.160%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.86%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 17:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +2.45%E +0.297%K +0.338%G +0.008% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.22%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 17:23 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.98%EV -3.13%E -0.402%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.25%EV -7.20%E -5.18%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 17:22 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 17:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -19.28%E -2.97%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -9.96%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.81%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -10.53%E -7.86%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -9.45%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.97%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -8.53%E -6.23%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -22.38%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.36%EV -9.87%E -7.31%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-04 17:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.06%EV -15.55%E -2.29%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.79%EV -9.87%E -7.31%K -28.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -15.55%E -2.29%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.96%EV -10.53%E -7.86%K -30.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.76%EV -16.17%E -2.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 66.74%EV -13.87%E -10.75%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-04 17:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -9.96%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.49%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -31.70%E -5.76%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-02 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -31.70%E -5.76%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-02 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -25.49%E -4.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.77%EV -22.38%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.71%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.30%EV -16.17%E -2.40%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 66.95%EV -17.21%E -13.88%K -71.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.75%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.23%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -21.94%E -5.85%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-04 17:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54% | 1.4% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |