Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AE Kifisia FC v PAOK Thessaloniki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AE Kifisia FC (Local)

Prévision 12.42%8.05cote équitable
EV +2.45%
Avantage +0.297%
Kelly +0.338%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 8.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.49%12.55%12.39%16.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.507.177.008.2518.18%13.95%14.29%12.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.77%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -8.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.66%66.75%66.87%69.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.381.381.4480.65%72.68%72.46%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.82%4.80cote équitable
EV +12.41%
Avantage +2.30%
Kelly +2.82%
Croissance +0.350%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.48%20.70%20.74%23.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.394.335.4026.67%22.80%23.09%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : AE Kifisia FC (Local) : 12.42% ; PAOK Thessaloniki (Visiteur) : 66.77% ; Match nul : 20.82%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.80. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.40, soit une espérance positive de +12.41%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV -10.59%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.41%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +12.41%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.350%5.9%2026-03-04 17:39
NordicBet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV -10.59%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.41%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV +12.41%E +2.30%K +2.82%G +0.350%5.9%2026-03-04 17:40
BetUS🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -8.53%E -6.23%K -23.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -1.12%E -0.237%K -0.300%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 17:34
Pinnacle🎯7.91I 12.64%NM 12.13%EV -1.77%E -0.224%K -0.256%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.55%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.32%EV -1.75%E -0.370%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.74%EV -5.86%E -4.16%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -2.16%E -0.461%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.74%EV -5.86%E -4.16%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.32%EV -2.16%E -0.461%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:25
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.16%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 17:25
1xBet🎯7.95I 12.58%NM 11.78%EV -1.27%E -0.160%K -0.183%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.86%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 17:35
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -4.25%E -0.923%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:33
Coolbet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +2.45%E +0.297%K +0.338%G +0.008%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.22%EV -5.19%E -3.66%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 17:25
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:23
Suprabets🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.98%EV -3.13%E -0.402%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.25%EV -7.20%E -5.18%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:22
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -19.28%E -2.97%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -6.33%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:25
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:25
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -9.96%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.81%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -8.41%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -10.53%E -7.86%K -30.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -9.45%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 17:35
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 17:35
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 17:35
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.97%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 17:25
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -9.87%E -2.28%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -0.651%E -0.081%K -0.093%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -8.53%E -6.23%K -23.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -22.38%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.36%EV -9.87%E -7.31%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -10.49%E -2.44%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-04 17:25
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.86%E -0.915%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 17:25
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-04 17:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.06%EV -15.55%E -2.29%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.79%EV -9.87%E -7.31%K -28.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -15.55%E -2.29%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 65.96%EV -10.53%E -7.86%K -30.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 12.76%EV -16.17%E -2.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 66.74%EV -13.87%E -10.75%K -47.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.50%EV -12.57%E -2.99%K -3.93%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-04 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -9.96%E -1.37%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.49%EV -7.86%E -5.70%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -14.65%E -3.57%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -31.70%E -5.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-02 14:39
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -31.70%E -5.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -3.86%E -2.68%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-02 14:39
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -25.49%E -4.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -6.53%E -4.66%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 14:40
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 13.77%EV -22.38%E -3.58%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 64.71%EV -11.20%E -8.42%K -33.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-04 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 12.30%EV -16.17%E -2.40%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 66.95%EV -17.21%E -13.88%K -71.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.75%EV -16.74%E -4.18%K -5.58%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -13.07%E -1.87%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.23%EV -9.20%E -6.76%K -25.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -21.94%E -5.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-04 17:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.0%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.0%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.0%2026-03-04 17:35
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.54%1.4%2026-03-04 17:40