L’École des cotes

Wehen Wiesbaden v TSG Hoffenheim II

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Score final : Wehen Wiesbaden 2–0 TSG Hoffenheim II

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prévision 52.75%1.90cote équitable
EV -5.06%
Avantage -2.81%
Kelly -6.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.46%52.85%52.90%54.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.741.751.8062.11%57.50%57.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.537%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.179%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.35%24.98%25.12%26.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.563.504.0030.77%28.11%28.57%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.12%4.52cote équitable
EV -0.461%
Avantage -0.102%
Kelly -0.132%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.61%22.17%21.98%24.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.983.954.5030.30%25.14%25.32%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -10.33%E -6.08%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:15
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.04%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.82%EV -0.217%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.15%EV -5.55%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 11:25
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 10:24
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -9.28%E -5.39%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -14.84%E -3.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 11:20
Suprabets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.75%EV -10.86%E -6.43%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.62%EV -7.25%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:24
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 11:19
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -0.461%E -0.102%K -0.132%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 10:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 53.42%EV -10.86%E -6.43%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 10:25
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -10.33%E -6.08%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 10:25
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 10:00
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 10:05
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -5.58%E -3.12%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:20
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 10:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 10:20
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 10:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 11:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 11:20
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.63%EV -12.44%E -7.49%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-16 10:25
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -11.91%E -7.13%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-16 10:25
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 51.68%EV -15.08%E -9.37%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.21%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.11%EV -20.37%E -5.66%K -7.83%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-16 09:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 50.46%EV -14.55%E -8.98%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.77%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.77%EV -27.00%E -8.18%K -11.74%G +0.000%22.3%2026-05-16 10:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 52.54%EV -14.55%E -8.98%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.19%EV -18.31%E -5.64%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.28%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-16 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-05-16 11:20