La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wehen Wiesbaden v TSG Hoffenheim II
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)
Predicción 52.75%1.90momio equitativo
EV -5.06%
Ventaja -2.81%
Kelly -6.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.46%52.85%52.90%54.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.741.751.8062.11%57.50%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TSG Hoffenheim II (Visitante)
Predicción 25.13%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.537%
Ventaja +0.134%
Kelly +0.179%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.35%24.98%25.12%26.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.563.504.0030.77%28.11%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.12%4.52momio equitativo
EV -0.461%
Ventaja -0.102%
Kelly -0.132%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.61%22.17%21.98%24.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.983.954.5030.30%25.14%25.32%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -10.33%E -6.08%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.04%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.82%EV -0.217%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.15%EV -5.55%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.69%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.89%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 10:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -9.28%E -5.39%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -14.84%E -3.85%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.75%EV -10.86%E -6.43%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 24.62%EV -7.25%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:24 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -8.22%E -4.73%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 11:19 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -0.461%E -0.102%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 10:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -6.64%E -3.75%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.42%EV -10.86%E -6.43%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 10:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -10.33%E -6.08%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 10:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 10:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -5.58%E -3.12%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -6.11%E -3.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -12.63%E -3.20%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.75%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 10:25 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 10:20 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 10:20 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -7.69%E -4.40%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.63%EV -12.44%E -7.49%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-16 10:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -11.91%E -7.13%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -15.95%E -4.20%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 10:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 51.68%EV -15.08%E -9.37%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.21%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.11%EV -20.37%E -5.66%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-16 09:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 50.46%EV -14.55%E -8.98%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.77%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.77%EV -27.00%E -8.18%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 22.3% | 2026-05-16 10:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.54%EV -14.55%E -8.98%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.19%EV -18.31%E -5.64%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.28%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-16 10:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |