Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim v TSV Havelse

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prediction 55.94%1.79fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.05%56.01%55.74%58.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.671.651.7665.36%60.06%60.61%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TSV Havelse (Visit)

Prediction 21.50%4.65fair odd
EV +1.06%
Edge +0.225%
Kelly +0.286%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.88%21.47%21.56%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.074.004.7026.67%24.57%25.00%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.56%4.43fair odd
EV -0.733%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.58%22.51%22.71%25.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.913.854.4030.30%25.56%25.97%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 55.94%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 21.50%; Draw: 22.56%. For TSV Havelse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -10.50%E -6.56%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +1.06%E +0.225%K +0.286%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.99%E -0.695%K -0.906%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 12:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.11%EV -6.02%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -2.17%E -0.477%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -0.733%E -0.167%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.11%EV -6.02%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -2.17%E -0.477%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -0.733%E -0.167%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 12:04
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%EV -7.14%E -4.30%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.97%EV -2.38%E -0.525%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.68%EV -0.959%E -0.218%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 12:15
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -6.58%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:08
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -8.26%E -5.04%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.89%E -2.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 12:25
Suprabets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.59%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 12:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -6.58%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.62%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 12:24
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.62%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.63%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.62%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.63%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -8.82%E -5.41%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.62%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -13.14%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.14%E -4.30%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -5.25%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:25
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.25%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 12:24
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 12:04
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 12:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 12:24
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -5.47%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 12:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.35%EV -5.47%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.89%E -2.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 12:09
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:04
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -12.18%E -7.76%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 54.17%EV -14.42%E -9.42%K -27.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.72%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -25.55%E -7.74%K -11.11%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-08 12:04
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -10.50%E -6.56%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -18.78%E -5.22%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-08 12:04
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.08%EV -1.55%E -0.880%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -13.14%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:55
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -13.30%E -8.58%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-08 12:04
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 53.87%EV -13.30%E -8.58%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.27%EV -19.37%E -5.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.86%EV -21.04%E -6.01%K -8.42%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-08 12:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-03-08 12:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-03-08 12:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-03-08 12:05