La escuela de los momios

Waldhof Mannheim v TSV Havelse

Inicio: 2026-03-08 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Predicción 55.94%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.05%56.01%55.74%58.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.671.651.7665.36%60.06%60.61%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TSV Havelse (Visitante)

Predicción 21.50%4.65momio equitativo
EV +1.06%
Ventaja +0.225%
Kelly +0.286%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.88%21.47%21.56%24.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.074.004.7026.67%24.57%25.00%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.56%4.43momio equitativo
EV -0.733%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.216%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.58%22.51%22.71%25.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.913.854.4030.30%25.56%25.97%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -10.50%E -6.56%K -17.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV +1.06%E +0.225%K +0.286%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.99%E -0.695%K -0.906%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 12:24
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.11%EV -6.02%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -2.17%E -0.477%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -0.733%E -0.167%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 12:04
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.11%EV -6.02%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -2.17%E -0.477%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -0.733%E -0.167%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 12:04
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%EV -7.14%E -4.30%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.97%EV -2.38%E -0.525%K -0.673%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.68%EV -0.959%E -0.218%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 12:15
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -6.58%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:08
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -8.26%E -5.04%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.89%E -2.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 12:25
Suprabets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.59%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 12:04
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -6.58%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.62%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 12:24
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.62%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.63%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:24
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.62%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.63%E -2.13%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:24
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -8.82%E -5.41%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.62%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -13.14%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.14%E -4.30%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -5.25%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:25
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.25%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 12:24
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 12:04
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 12:25
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 12:24
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.94%E -6.17%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -12.01%E -3.08%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 12:24
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -5.47%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 12:04
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.35%EV -5.47%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.89%E -2.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 12:09
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.70%E -4.67%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:04
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -12.18%E -7.76%K -21.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 54.17%EV -14.42%E -9.42%K -27.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.72%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -25.55%E -7.74%K -11.11%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-08 12:04
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -10.50%E -6.56%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -18.78%E -5.22%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-08 12:04
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.08%EV -1.55%E -0.880%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -13.14%E -3.41%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:54
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:55
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:55
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.27%E -3.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 11:54
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -13.30%E -8.58%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-08 12:04
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 53.87%EV -13.30%E -8.58%K -24.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.27%EV -19.37%E -5.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.86%EV -21.04%E -6.01%K -8.42%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-08 12:23
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-03-08 12:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-03-08 12:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-03-08 12:05