Language:English
Waldhof Mannheim v MSV Duisburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waldhof Mannheim (Local)
Prediction 38.49%2.60fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.463%
Kelly +0.747%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.71%38.57%38.38%40.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.402.6345.45%41.16%41.67%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
MSV Duisburg (Visit)
Prediction 35.42%2.82fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.865%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.07%35.39%35.43%38.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.512.502.7842.02%39.90%40.00%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.777%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.54%26.04%26.19%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.403.403.7534.72%29.39%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 38.49%; MSV Duisburg (Visit): 35.42%; Draw: 26.10%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.14%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.86%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.86%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -2.14%E -0.570%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.75%EV -10.04%E -3.95%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -9.18%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.75%EV -10.04%E -3.95%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -9.18%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.25%EV -8.79%E -3.71%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.31%EV -1.54%E -0.554%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.14%E -0.570%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -8.79%E -3.71%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -8.79%E -3.71%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -10.33%E -4.43%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -6.14%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.53%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -6.85%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 25.90%EV -8.40%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 11:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -6.14%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -15.71%E -6.60%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-11 11:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -16.49%E -5.15%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-11 11:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.96%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.09%EV -15.71%E -6.60%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.94%EV -19.10%E -6.16%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-11 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -24.84%E -8.63%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-04-11 11:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.85% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 11:55 |