A Escola das Odds

Waldhof Mannheim v MSV Duisburg

Início: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Previsão 38.49%2.60odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.463%
Kelly +0.747%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.71%38.57%38.38%40.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.432.402.6345.45%41.16%41.67%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

MSV Duisburg (Visitante)

Previsão 35.42%2.82odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.554%
Kelly -0.865%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.07%35.39%35.43%38.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.512.502.7842.02%39.90%40.00%35.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.10%3.83odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -0.570%
Kelly -0.777%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.54%26.04%26.19%28.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.403.403.7534.72%29.39%29.41%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:24
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV +1.22%E +0.463%K +0.747%G +0.009%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -12.58%E -3.75%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.14%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:55
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.86%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:55
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.86%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:54
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:54
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:55
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.92%E -3.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -2.14%E -0.570%K -0.777%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:49
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.75%EV -10.04%E -3.95%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -9.18%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.75%EV -10.04%E -3.95%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -9.18%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 11:54
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.40%E -3.53%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 11:55
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.25%EV -8.79%E -3.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.31%EV -1.54%E -0.554%K -0.865%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.14%E -0.570%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -8.79%E -3.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 11:55
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -8.79%E -3.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 11:55
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -10.33%E -4.43%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -6.14%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:50
Suprabets2.30I 43.48%NM 39.53%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -6.85%E -2.61%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 25.90%EV -8.40%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 11:48
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -6.14%E -2.32%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 11:45
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -8.66%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 11:55
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -7.21%E -2.75%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:45
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -15.71%E -6.60%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-11 11:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.53%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -9.69%E -3.80%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-11 11:45
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -11.46%E -4.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -16.49%E -5.15%K -7.50%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 11:44
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 37.96%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.09%EV -15.71%E -6.60%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.94%EV -19.10%E -6.16%K -9.10%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-11 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -15.00%E -6.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -24.84%E -8.63%K -13.21%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-11 11:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.85%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-04-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-04-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.23%1.7%2026-04-11 11:55