Language:English
Waldhof Mannheim v Alemannia Aachen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waldhof Mannheim (Local)
Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.73%37.32%37.39%39.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.402.6244.44%41.72%41.67%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alemannia Aachen (Visit)
Prediction 36.46%2.74fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.36%36.46%36.52%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.512.6543.48%39.54%39.84%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.15%3.82fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%26.22%26.10%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.433.453.7034.72%29.14%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 37.39%; Alemannia Aachen (Visit): 36.46%; Draw: 26.15%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -2.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%EV -2.04%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.45%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.09%EV -4.30%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.08%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 12:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.08%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 12:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.42%EV -11.39%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.21%EV -9.27%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.26%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 12:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 12:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.24%EV -11.01%E -4.63%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.94%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -18.94%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -12.88%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 11:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -15.02%E -4.62%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-01 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -16.13%E -7.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -16.13%E -7.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%EV -24.70%E -8.58%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 21.7% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -15.87%E -7.06%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.13%E -7.01%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -18.94%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-01 12:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.11% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.11% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.11% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |