La escuela de los momios

Waldhof Mannheim v Alemannia Aachen

Inicio: 2026-03-01 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Predicción 37.39%2.67momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.779%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.73%37.32%37.39%39.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.6244.44%41.72%41.67%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alemannia Aachen (Visitante)

Predicción 36.46%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.36%36.46%36.52%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.512.6543.48%39.54%39.84%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.15%3.82momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.06%26.22%26.10%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.433.453.7034.72%29.14%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.45%EV -2.04%E -0.779%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.45%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.09%EV -4.30%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 12:19
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.08%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 12:08
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.08%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 12:09
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 12:19
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 12:09
Suprabets2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.42%EV -11.39%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.21%EV -9.27%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 12:09
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 12:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.26%E -0.880%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 12:10
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 12:09
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 12:09
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 12:09
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 12:10
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 12:09
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 12:09
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 12:09
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.49%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 12:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 12:24
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 12:10
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 12:09
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 12:09
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 12:09
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.24%EV -11.01%E -4.63%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.94%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -18.94%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-01 12:09
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -12.88%E -5.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 11:59
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 11:59
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -13.26%E -5.71%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 12:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -15.02%E -4.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-01 12:10
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.08%EV -16.13%E -7.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-01 12:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.73%EV -16.13%E -7.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.54%EV -24.70%E -8.58%K -13.14%G +0.000%21.7%2026-03-01 12:09
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -15.87%E -7.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.13%E -7.01%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -18.94%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-01 12:13
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-01 12:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-01 12:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.11%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-01 12:14