Language:English
VfL Osnabrück v SC Verl
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VfL Osnabrück (Local)
Prediction 40.75%2.45fair odd
EV -6.28%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -4.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.11%40.83%40.68%42.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.262.3048.78%44.50%44.15%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Verl (Visit)
Prediction 32.69%3.06fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.967%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.50%32.63%32.81%34.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.733.0040.00%36.57%36.70%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.56%3.76fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.463%
Kelly -0.635%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%26.54%26.51%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.453.7032.26%29.31%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 40.75%; SC Verl (Visit): 32.69%; Draw: 26.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 12:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -14.36%E -5.48%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 21:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.22%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.93%EV -7.29%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 11:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.36%E -5.48%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-20 22:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.65%EV -9.54%E -4.30%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -1.93%E -0.645%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -1.71%E -0.463%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.37%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 06:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-24 01:02 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 09:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 09:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 09:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -16.64%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -13.67%E -4.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.94%EV -11.98%E -5.55%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.93%EV -9.45%E -3.41%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 27.13%EV -13.40%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.92%EV -12.39%E -5.76%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-21 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -14.43%E -6.87%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.61%EV -14.36%E -5.48%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-20 06:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.56%EV -16.47%E -8.03%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.61%EV -16.64%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -17.65%E -5.69%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-21 08:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.58% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.10% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |