L’École des cotes

VfL Osnabrück v SC Verl

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prévision 40.75%2.45cote équitable
EV -6.28%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -4.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.11%40.83%40.68%42.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.252.262.3048.78%44.50%44.15%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Verl (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.69%3.06cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -0.967%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.50%32.63%32.81%34.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.733.0040.00%36.57%36.70%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.56%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.463%
Kelly -0.635%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.50%26.54%26.51%28.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.453.7032.26%29.31%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 12:19
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 21:05
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:19
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:19
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:20
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:20
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:20
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:20
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:20
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:19
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -14.36%E -5.48%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 21:52
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 41.22%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -3.57%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.93%EV -7.29%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 08:35
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 15:49
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -7.82%E -2.77%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 16:40
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -7.09%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -5.86%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.84%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 12:05
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.74%E -4.35%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.03%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 11:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 21:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 21:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 21:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -14.36%E -5.48%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-20 22:19
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.65%EV -9.54%E -4.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 15:50
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -1.93%E -0.645%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -1.71%E -0.463%K -0.635%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 16:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.47%E -3.03%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -4.37%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 06:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.36%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-24 01:02
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 09:45
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 09:45
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -10.11%E -3.68%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 09:44
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -16.64%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-20 21:55
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -10.35%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -18.28%E -7.31%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -13.67%E -4.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-20 21:55
Suprabets2.16I 46.30%NM 40.94%EV -11.98%E -5.55%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.93%EV -9.45%E -3.41%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.13%EV -13.40%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-24 03:04
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.92%EV -12.39%E -5.76%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20%EV -13.38%E -5.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-21 15:50
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -14.43%E -6.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.61%EV -14.36%E -5.48%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -15.00%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-20 06:40
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 40.56%EV -16.47%E -8.03%K -15.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.61%EV -16.64%E -6.53%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -17.65%E -5.69%K -8.41%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-21 08:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 40.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%15.8%2026-04-23 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 40.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.42%15.8%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.58%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%16.2%2026-04-23 22:05