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VfL Osnabrück v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VfL Osnabrück (Local)
Prediction 48.92%2.04fair odd
EV -6.07%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -6.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.66%49.07%48.67%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.851.9257.14%53.98%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit)
Prediction 23.60%4.24fair odd
EV +3.83%
Edge +0.870%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.58%23.45%23.79%24.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.863.854.4029.41%25.88%25.97%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%27.49%27.54%28.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.403.5033.33%29.90%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 48.92%; FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit): 23.60%; Draw: 27.48%. For FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV +3.83%E +0.870%K +1.13%G +0.043% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV +3.83%E +0.870%K +1.13%G +0.043% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.68%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -2.07%E -0.499%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.25%E -0.793%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 17:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.17%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.26%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 17:42 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-03 17:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.53%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.53%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -9.98%E -5.42%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -9.98%E -5.42%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -9.98%E -5.42%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 17:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 17:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -14.38%E -8.22%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.69%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -15.05%E -4.18%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.66%EV -14.38%E -8.22%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -19.77%E -5.81%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.