L’École des cotes

VfL Osnabrück v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prévision 48.92%2.04cote équitable
EV -6.07%
Avantage -3.16%
Kelly -6.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.66%49.07%48.67%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.851.851.9257.14%53.98%54.05%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.60%4.24cote équitable
EV +3.83%
Avantage +0.870%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.58%23.45%23.79%24.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.863.854.4029.41%25.88%25.97%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.52%27.49%27.54%28.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.403.5033.33%29.90%29.41%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV +3.83%E +0.870%K +1.13%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 17:45
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV +3.83%E +0.870%K +1.13%G +0.043%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 17:45
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 49.68%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.99%EV -2.07%E -0.499%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.25%E -0.793%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 17:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.61%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 17:00
Suprabets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.17%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.26%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 17:42
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.56%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -7.97%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-03 17:56
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 17:40
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.53%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 17:30
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.53%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 17:30
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -9.98%E -5.42%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:15
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -9.98%E -5.42%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:15
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -9.98%E -5.42%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 17:15
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 17:15
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 17:15
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 17:15
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 17:15
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.15%E -2.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 17:30
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 17:31
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.44%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:55
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 17:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-03 17:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.33%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.82%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-03 17:55
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 17:55
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-03 17:40
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -14.38%E -8.22%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -11.51%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-03 17:15
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.69%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-03 17:40
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -15.05%E -4.18%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-03 17:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 47.66%EV -14.38%E -8.22%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -19.77%E -5.81%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-03 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.