Language:English
VfB Stuttgart II v Jahn Regensburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart II (Local)
Prediction 41.19%2.43fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.476%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.22%41.21%41.15%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.242.202.4048.78%44.55%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jahn Regensburg (Visit)
Prediction 34.59%2.89fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.95%34.55%34.68%36.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.602.7541.67%38.98%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.22%4.13fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.50%24.23%24.17%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.683.703.9630.77%27.15%27.03%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart II (Local): 41.19%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 34.59%; Draw: 24.22%. For VfB Stuttgart II (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.08%EV -5.26%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.33%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.08%EV -5.26%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.33%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -5.26%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -16.98%E -7.08%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.48%EV -6.91%E -3.06%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.85%EV -6.95%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.67%EV -4.09%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 15:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -7.32%E -3.25%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.32%E -3.25%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-17 03:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -7.32%E -3.25%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-17 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.32%E -3.25%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -9.37%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 06:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-17 20:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.60%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-17 03:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.60%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 14:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.60%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 03:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-16 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -13.52%E -5.41%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-16 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 40.81%EV -9.79%E -4.47%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 34.91%EV -11.45%E -4.47%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -10.87%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.44%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-17 14:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.44%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-17 03:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -11.44%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.52%E -5.41%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -15.23%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-16 17:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.36%EV -11.85%E -5.54%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 34.98%EV -12.49%E -4.94%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 23.66%EV -9.42%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-16 18:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.95%EV -13.50%E -6.43%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.24%EV -15.25%E -6.23%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -21.29%E -6.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.95%EV -13.50%E -6.43%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.24%EV -15.25%E -6.23%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -21.29%E -6.55%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.26%EV -15.56%E -7.59%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.24%EV -16.98%E -7.08%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.64% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.86% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |