L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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VfB Stuttgart II v Jahn Regensburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC

Score final : VfB Stuttgart II 3–3 Jahn Regensburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfB Stuttgart II (Local)

Prévision 41.19%2.43cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.476%
Kelly -0.817%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.22%41.21%41.15%41.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.242.202.4048.78%44.55%45.45%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.59%2.89cote équitable
EV -4.88%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.95%34.55%34.68%36.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.7541.67%38.98%38.46%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.22%4.13cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.50%24.23%24.17%25.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.683.703.9630.77%27.15%27.03%25.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : VfB Stuttgart II (Local) : 41.19% ; Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur) : 34.59% ; Match nul : 24.22%. Pour VfB Stuttgart II (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.43. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.40, pour une espérance de -1.14% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:10
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -1.14%E -0.476%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.99%EV -14.22%E -5.73%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -10.39%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 12:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.08%EV -5.26%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.33%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 12:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.08%EV -5.26%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.33%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -5.26%E -2.29%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -16.98%E -7.08%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-14 12:10
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.48%EV -6.91%E -3.06%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.85%EV -6.95%E -2.58%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.67%EV -4.09%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 15:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -7.32%E -3.25%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.88%E -1.77%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.32%E -3.25%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.61%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 03:50
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -7.32%E -3.25%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-17 20:05
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.32%E -3.25%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-16 20:15
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -9.37%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 06:09
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-17 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.60%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-17 03:55
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.60%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 14:53
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -11.60%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 03:55
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 13:54
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 13:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-16 20:10
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -9.38%E -4.26%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -13.52%E -5.41%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-16 17:25
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 40.81%EV -9.79%E -4.47%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 34.91%EV -11.45%E -4.47%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -10.87%E -2.95%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 00:09
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.44%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 14:51
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.44%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.18%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 03:51
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -11.44%E -5.32%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.52%E -5.41%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -15.23%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-16 17:25
Suprabets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.36%EV -11.85%E -5.54%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.98%EV -12.49%E -4.94%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 23.66%EV -9.42%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 18:33
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.95%EV -13.50%E -6.43%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.24%EV -15.25%E -6.23%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -21.29%E -6.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%19.2%2026-09-18 12:35
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.95%EV -13.50%E -6.43%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.24%EV -15.25%E -6.23%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -21.29%E -6.55%K -9.46%G +0.000%19.2%2026-09-18 12:40
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.26%EV -15.56%E -7.59%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.24%EV -16.98%E -7.08%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%18.2%2026-09-17 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 40.64%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%8.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 40.86%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%9.3%2026-09-18 15:30