The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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TSV Havelse v VfB Stuttgart II

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prediction 27.07%3.69fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.456%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%27.15%27.14%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.6533.33%29.38%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Visit)

Prediction 49.70%2.01fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -5.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.66%49.65%49.75%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.811.9157.14%55.02%55.10%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.23%4.30fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.576%
Kelly -0.756%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.80%23.20%23.12%24.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.823.854.2029.41%26.16%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 27.07%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visit): 49.70%; Draw: 23.23%. For TSV Havelse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV -11.04%E -6.17%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 17:34
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:34
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 08:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.42%E -0.576%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 23:01
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:35
Pinnacle🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.34%EV -7.16%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.77%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:35
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:49
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:43
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 11:15
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.33%E -2.78%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -9.05%E -4.94%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 06:09
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 12:13
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.05%E -4.94%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-20 22:03
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 09:45
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 09:44
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.05%E -4.94%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -2.42%E -0.576%K -0.756%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 06:09
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 12:59
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-20 12:10
Suprabets🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 27.61%EV -13.12%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.24%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.14%EV -11.01%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 12:54
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.10%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-20 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -16.10%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.94%EV -12.53%E -7.12%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -14.03%E -3.79%K -5.20%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-20 11:49
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -18.80%E -6.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.78%EV -13.02%E -7.44%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.76%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-20 06:40
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%EV -18.80%E -6.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 47.66%EV -13.02%E -7.44%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -21.00%E -6.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-21 09:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%15.4%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%15.4%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%15.4%2026-04-23 22:09