L’École des cotes

TSV Havelse v VfB Stuttgart II

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prévision 27.07%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.331%
Kelly -0.456%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%27.15%27.14%28.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.6533.33%29.38%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VfB Stuttgart II (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.70%2.01cote équitable
EV -5.07%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -5.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.66%49.65%49.75%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.821.811.9157.14%55.02%55.10%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.23%4.30cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.576%
Kelly -0.756%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.80%23.20%23.12%24.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.823.854.2029.41%26.16%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.14%EV -11.04%E -6.17%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 17:34
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:34
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:34
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 17:35
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 08:39
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -1.21%E -0.331%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -11.53%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 08:39
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.42%E -0.576%K -0.756%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 23:01
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:29
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.27%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.08%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:35
Pinnacle3.43I 29.15%NM 27.34%EV -7.16%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.77%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:35
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:49
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.07%E -2.66%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 13:43
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.98%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 11:15
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.33%E -2.78%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -9.05%E -4.94%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -8.23%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 06:09
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 12:13
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.05%E -4.94%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-20 22:03
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 09:45
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.68%E -3.24%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 09:44
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.05%E -4.94%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -2.42%E -0.576%K -0.756%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 06:09
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 13:00
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 12:59
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 12:59
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.04%E -3.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-20 12:10
Suprabets3.21I 31.15%NM 27.61%EV -13.12%E -4.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.24%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.14%EV -11.01%E -2.88%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 12:54
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.10%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-20 12:10
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.78%EV -16.10%E -5.19%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.94%EV -12.53%E -7.12%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -14.03%E -3.79%K -5.20%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-20 11:49
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -18.80%E -6.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.78%EV -13.02%E -7.44%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.76%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-20 06:40
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 27.80%EV -18.80%E -6.27%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 47.66%EV -13.02%E -7.44%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -21.00%E -6.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-21 09:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%15.4%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%15.4%2026-04-23 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.81%15.4%2026-04-23 22:09