Language:English
TSV Havelse v SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSV Havelse (Local)
Prediction 32.85%3.04fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.723%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.50%32.76%32.88%34.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.773.0040.00%35.97%36.10%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit)
Prediction 42.08%2.38fair odd
EV -6.16%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -5.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.48%42.18%42.07%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.2348.78%46.29%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.07%3.99fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%25.06%25.06%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.553.8029.85%27.97%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 32.85%; SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Visit): 42.08%; Draw: 25.07%. For TSV Havelse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -1.45%E -0.482%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.85%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.85%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.34%EV -7.69%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.76%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 11:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 11:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -10.79%E -5.09%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.02%E -4.78%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-07 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.85%EV -9.00%E -3.25%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.26%E -3.79%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -10.26%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 16:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 05:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 06:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 05:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.77%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.70%EV -12.89%E -6.23%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 05:58 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.19%EV -12.29%E -4.60%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 41.99%EV -11.21%E -5.31%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 24.82%EV -10.51%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 16:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.96%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.28%EV -13.73%E -6.70%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-09 06:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.09%EV -17.87%E -7.15%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.57%EV -13.73%E -6.70%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.