StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

TSV Havelse v SG Sonnenhof Großaspach

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 12:00 UTC

Slutresultat: TSV Havelse 2–2 SG Sonnenhof Großaspach

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

TSV Havelse (Hemma)

Prognos 32.85%3.04rättvist odds
EV -1.45%
Fördel -0.482%
Kelly -0.723%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.50%32.76%32.88%34.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.782.773.0040.00%35.97%36.10%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Borta)

Prognos 42.08%2.38rättvist odds
EV -6.16%
Fördel -2.76%
Kelly -5.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.48%42.18%42.07%43.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.162.152.2348.78%46.29%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.07%3.99rättvist odds
EV -4.74%
Fördel -1.25%
Kelly -1.69%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.10%25.06%25.06%26.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.353.583.553.8029.85%27.97%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: TSV Havelse (Hemma): 32.85%; SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Borta): 42.08%; Oavgjort: 25.07%. För TSV Havelse (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.04. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.00, med väntevärdet -1.45%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -1.45%E -0.482%K -0.723%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:20
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:25
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.85%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.85%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.34%EV -7.69%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -6.16%E -2.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 12:05
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 11:38
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 11:35
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.25%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.84%EV -10.79%E -5.09%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -16.02%E -4.78%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 12:20
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.85%EV -9.00%E -3.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.26%E -3.79%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -10.26%E -2.87%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 16:31
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 05:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 06:00
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 05:59
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.77%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 11:40
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 16:05
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:05
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 16:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -8.50%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 12:20
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 12:20
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 12:20
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.70%EV -12.89%E -6.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 05:58
Suprabets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.19%EV -12.29%E -4.60%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 41.99%EV -11.21%E -5.31%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 24.82%EV -10.51%E -2.94%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 16:06
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.96%EV -13.60%E -5.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.28%EV -13.73%E -6.70%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-09 06:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.09%EV -17.87%E -7.15%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.57%EV -13.73%E -6.70%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.35%EV -12.26%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-09 16:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.