Language:English
TSV Havelse v SC Fortuna Köln
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSV Havelse (Local)
Prediction 33.71%2.97fair odd
EV -0.560%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.287%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%33.62%33.80%34.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.722.9540.00%36.93%36.76%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Fortuna Köln (Visit)
Prediction 40.61%2.46fair odd
EV -6.60%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -5.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.57%40.73%40.41%42.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.242.252.3048.78%44.70%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.576%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.19%25.64%25.79%26.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.483.503.8332.05%28.71%28.57%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV Havelse (Local): 33.71%; SC Fortuna Köln (Visit): 40.61%; Draw: 25.68%. For TSV Havelse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.560%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.560%E -0.190%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.75%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.85%EV -1.63%E -0.426%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-25 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.69%E -5.90%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-25 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.56%EV -11.07%E -5.05%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.35%EV -7.79%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.89%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.99%EV -10.62%E -3.05%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-25 16:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -14.72%E -7.01%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -15.24%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-25 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.54%EV -8.31%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.54%EV -8.31%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.40%E -0.632%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.32%EV -7.82%E -3.45%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-25 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-25 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-25 16:48 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -11.35%E -4.31%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.84%EV -11.35%E -4.31%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.17%EV -12.69%E -5.90%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -17.81%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-25 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-25 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -16.75%E -8.17%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-25 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.67%EV -14.04%E -5.51%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.63%EV -16.75%E -8.17%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.70%EV -19.87%E -6.37%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-09-25 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.10%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.37%EV -16.75%E -8.17%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.53%EV -19.87%E -6.37%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-09-25 16:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-09-25 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 1.3% | 2026-09-25 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 1.3% | 2026-09-25 16:55 |