L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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TSV Havelse v SC Fortuna Köln

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-25 17:00 UTC

Score final : TSV Havelse 1–3 SC Fortuna Köln

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prévision 33.71%2.97cote équitable
EV -0.560%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.287%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.71%33.62%33.80%34.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.712.722.9540.00%36.93%36.76%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SC Fortuna Köln (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.61%2.46cote équitable
EV -6.60%
Avantage -2.87%
Kelly -5.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.57%40.73%40.41%42.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.242.252.3048.78%44.70%44.44%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.68%3.89cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.426%
Kelly -0.576%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.19%25.64%25.79%26.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.123.483.503.8332.05%28.71%28.57%26.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : TSV Havelse (Local) : 33.71% ; SC Fortuna Köln (Visiteur) : 40.61% ; Match nul : 25.68%. Pour TSV Havelse (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.97. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.95, pour une espérance de -0.560% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -0.560%E -0.190%K -0.287%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-25 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.75%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.85%EV -1.63%E -0.426%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 16:44
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-25 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -5.62%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.69%E -5.90%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-25 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 16:45
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 16:45
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 16:45
Suprabets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.56%EV -11.07%E -5.05%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.35%EV -7.79%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-25 16:45
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.89%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.99%EV -10.62%E -3.05%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-25 16:48
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -14.72%E -7.01%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -15.24%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-25 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.54%EV -8.31%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-25 16:45
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.54%EV -8.31%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -7.41%E -3.25%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-25 16:45
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.60%E -2.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-25 16:45
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.40%E -0.632%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.32%EV -7.82%E -3.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.78%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-25 16:50
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-25 16:50
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-25 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-25 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-25 16:45
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-25 16:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -11.35%E -4.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -10.66%E -4.85%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-25 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.84%EV -11.35%E -4.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.17%EV -12.69%E -5.90%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -17.81%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-25 16:44
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-25 16:45
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-25 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-25 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-25 16:45
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-25 16:45
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.63%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-25 16:45
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -16.75%E -8.17%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-25 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.67%EV -14.04%E -5.51%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.63%EV -16.75%E -8.17%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.70%EV -19.87%E -6.37%K -9.37%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-25 16:54
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.10%EV -15.73%E -6.29%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.37%EV -16.75%E -8.17%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.53%EV -19.87%E -6.37%K -9.37%G +0.000%20.8%2026-09-25 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-09-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-09-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-09-25 16:55