Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV 1860 München v Waldhof Mannheim

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Prediction 47.42%2.11fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.81%47.52%47.45%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.912.0055.56%52.02%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Waldhof Mannheim (Visit)

Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV -0.350%
Edge -0.095%
Kelly -0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.76%26.87%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.353.7033.33%29.89%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -0.881%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%25.72%25.68%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.533.603.7733.33%28.29%27.78%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV 1860 München (Local): 47.42%; Waldhof Mannheim (Visit): 26.93%; Draw: 25.64%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.350%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.65%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.28%EV -3.32%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.350%E -0.095%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.350%E -0.095%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 11:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 11:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:44
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.48%EV -7.05%E -3.60%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 11:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -7.05%E -3.60%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:44
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -15.37%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 05:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -15.37%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 05:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -15.37%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 05:10
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 02:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 02:35
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 02:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 02:35
Suprabets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.00%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:53
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.47%E -4.39%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.64%EV -8.95%E -4.66%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 11:19
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.83%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 11:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.90%E -5.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.350%E -0.095%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -11.32%E -6.05%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 11:44
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.01%EV -11.32%E -6.05%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -19.20%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -12.27%E -6.63%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -15.37%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-04 11:44
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -13.22%E -7.22%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.35%EV -14.64%E -8.13%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.74%EV -19.99%E -6.41%K -9.43%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -14.64%E -8.13%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -23.07%E -7.69%K -11.53%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.4%2026-04-04 11:54