A Escola das Odds

TSV 1860 München v Waldhof Mannheim

Início: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Previsão 47.42%2.11odd justa
EV -5.15%
Vantagem -2.58%
Kelly -5.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.81%47.52%47.45%49.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.921.912.0055.56%52.02%52.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Waldhof Mannheim (Visitante)

Previsão 26.93%3.71odd justa
EV -0.350%
Vantagem -0.095%
Kelly -0.130%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.33%26.76%26.87%28.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.353.353.7033.33%29.89%29.85%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.64%3.90odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -0.881%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.59%25.72%25.68%27.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.533.603.7733.33%28.29%27.78%26.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.65%EV -5.15%E -2.58%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.07%EV -5.20%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.28%EV -3.32%E -0.881%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 11:55
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.350%E -0.095%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.350%E -0.095%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 11:44
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 11:45
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:44
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.08%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -6.10%E -3.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.48%EV -7.05%E -3.60%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 11:44
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -7.05%E -3.60%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:44
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -15.37%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 05:09
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -15.37%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 05:10
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -15.37%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 05:10
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 02:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 02:35
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 02:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.52%E -3.86%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 02:35
Suprabets1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.00%E -4.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -8.96%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 11:53
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.47%E -4.39%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 11:44
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.64%EV -8.95%E -4.66%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 11:19
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.83%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 11:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.43%E -2.48%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.68%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:45
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -9.42%E -4.93%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.78%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.40%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.90%E -5.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.350%E -0.095%K -0.130%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -11.32%E -6.05%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.12%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 11:44
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.01%EV -11.32%E -6.05%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -19.20%E -6.40%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -12.27%E -6.63%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -15.37%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-04 11:44
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -13.22%E -7.22%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -12.47%E -3.84%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -12.81%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 46.35%EV -14.64%E -8.13%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.91%EV -16.51%E -5.33%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.74%EV -19.99%E -6.41%K -9.43%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -14.64%E -8.13%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -13.82%E -4.32%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -23.07%E -7.69%K -11.53%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-04-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.4%2026-04-04 11:54