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TSV 1860 München v SSV Ulm 1846
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TSV 1860 München (Local)
Prediction 49.90%2.00fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.63%49.99%49.95%52.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.831.9157.80%55.00%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit)
Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV +0.214%
Edge +0.055%
Kelly +0.074%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.14%25.58%25.73%26.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.563.603.9032.05%28.06%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -0.799%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.91%24.43%24.32%27.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.633.604.0032.26%27.58%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TSV 1860 München (Local): 49.90%; SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit): 25.70%; Draw: 24.40%. For SSV Ulm 1846 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.214%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV +0.214%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.40%E -0.599%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.76%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.11%EV -3.90%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.14%EV -5.08%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -7.28%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:13 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 00:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.06%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 12:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 07:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.28%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.28%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -11.67%E -6.59%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.28%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 14:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -2.40%E -0.599%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-22 22:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.99%EV -11.67%E -6.59%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.50%EV -10.84%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 24.51%EV -11.91%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -8.18%E -4.44%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 15:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -13.67%E -7.90%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -24.36%E -7.86%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-04-23 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -10.94%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-21 15:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-21 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -13.67%E -7.90%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.63%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.72%EV -19.83%E -6.36%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -20.70%E -6.37%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-04-21 14:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |