L’École des cotes

TSV 1860 München v SSV Ulm 1846

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Prévision 49.90%2.00cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -5.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.63%49.99%49.95%52.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.821.831.9157.80%55.00%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.70%3.89cote équitable
EV +0.214%
Avantage +0.055%
Kelly +0.074%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.14%25.58%25.73%26.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.123.563.603.9032.05%28.06%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.40%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.599%
Kelly -0.799%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.91%24.43%24.32%27.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.633.604.0032.26%27.58%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV +0.214%E +0.055%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.40%E -0.599%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 13:00
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 50.76%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.11%EV -3.90%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.14%EV -5.08%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 14:40
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -7.28%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:13
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 00:14
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:14
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:15
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:14
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:15
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:15
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:14
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:15
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:15
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:14
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.58%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -13.38%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 00:14
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 12:05
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.06%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 12:14
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 07:15
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.28%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.28%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:25
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 15:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -11.67%E -6.59%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.28%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 14:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 14:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 14:01
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 15:25
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -2.40%E -0.599%K -0.799%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 11:14
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.50%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 22:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 14:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 14:49
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.06%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-21 15:35
Suprabets1.77I 56.50%NM 49.99%EV -11.67%E -6.59%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.50%EV -10.84%E -3.12%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 24.51%EV -11.91%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 03:19
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -8.18%E -4.44%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.16%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -13.67%E -7.90%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -12.63%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -24.36%E -7.86%K -11.60%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-23 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -10.17%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -10.94%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-21 15:24
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-21 15:35
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -13.67%E -7.90%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -14.60%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-24 00:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 47.63%EV -12.67%E -7.24%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.72%EV -19.83%E -6.36%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.65%EV -20.70%E -6.37%K -9.20%G +0.000%20.0%2026-04-21 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%4.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%4.2%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%4.2%2026-04-24 00:04