A Escola das Odds

TSV 1860 München v FC Ingolstadt 04

Início: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Final: TSV 1860 München 1–2 FC Ingolstadt 04

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Previsão 41.05%2.44odd justa
EV -5.59%
Vantagem -2.43%
Kelly -4.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.37%41.17%41.10%42.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.70%45.45%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visitante)

Previsão 34.29%2.92odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -0.799%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.14%34.16%34.25%35.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.682.672.8541.67%37.32%37.52%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.66%4.05odd justa
EV -3.33%
Vantagem -0.848%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.94%24.66%24.66%27.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.623.603.9233.33%27.61%27.78%25.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:05
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.00%E -2.62%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.13%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.29%EV -3.33%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 01:44
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.22%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.05%EV -5.36%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 12:04
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.22%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.05%EV -5.36%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 12:04
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.11%E -3.02%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 11:19
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.11%E -3.02%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 11:19
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.45%EV -7.23%E -3.20%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -9.98%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 00:24
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.64%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 12:04
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.64%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 16:24
Suprabets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.97%EV -8.87%E -4.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.71%EV -9.24%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 00:22
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 14:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 08:34
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 12:03
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.61%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 15:53
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:09
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 11:14
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 11:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 11:15
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.41%EV -11.33%E -5.25%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:19
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:19
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 15:54
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -12.56%E -4.93%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-07 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.28%E -5.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-06 11:19
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.28%E -5.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-07 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.80%E -6.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -14.28%E -5.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -26.01%E -8.67%K -13.01%G +0.000%21.0%2026-05-07 15:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 40.99%EV -15.85%E -7.73%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.01%EV -17.71%E -7.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.01%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-06 11:14
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -15.85%E -7.73%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -15.99%E -6.53%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -18.62%E -5.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-06 11:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%3.3%2026-05-09 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%3.3%2026-05-09 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.66%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-05-09 01:29