L’École des cotes

TSV 1860 München v FC Ingolstadt 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Score final : TSV 1860 München 1–2 FC Ingolstadt 04

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Prévision 41.05%2.44cote équitable
EV -5.59%
Avantage -2.43%
Kelly -4.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.37%41.17%41.10%42.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.70%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.29%2.92cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.799%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.14%34.16%34.25%35.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.682.672.8541.67%37.32%37.52%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.66%4.05cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -0.848%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.94%24.66%24.66%27.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.623.603.9233.33%27.61%27.78%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.59%E -2.43%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 12:05
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.00%E -2.62%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.13%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.29%EV -3.33%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 01:44
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.22%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.05%EV -5.36%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 12:04
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.22%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.05%EV -5.36%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 12:04
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.11%E -3.02%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 11:19
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -6.41%E -2.81%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.11%E -3.02%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 11:19
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.45%EV -7.23%E -3.20%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -9.98%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 00:24
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.64%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 12:04
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.64%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 16:24
Suprabets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.97%EV -8.87%E -4.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.71%EV -9.24%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 00:22
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 14:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-06 08:34
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 12:03
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.61%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 15:53
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -9.14%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:09
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.80%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.26%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 03:59
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 11:14
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 11:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.69%E -4.40%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-06 11:15
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.41%EV -11.33%E -5.25%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:19
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:19
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 12:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-05 15:54
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -12.56%E -4.93%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-07 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.28%E -5.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-06 11:19
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -11.74%E -5.46%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.28%E -5.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-07 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.80%E -6.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -14.28%E -5.71%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -26.01%E -8.67%K -13.01%G +0.000%21.0%2026-05-07 15:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 40.99%EV -15.85%E -7.73%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.01%EV -17.71%E -7.38%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.01%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-06 11:14
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -15.85%E -7.73%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.04%EV -15.99%E -6.53%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.27%EV -18.62%E -5.64%K -8.09%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-06 11:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%3.3%2026-05-09 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%3.3%2026-05-09 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.66%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-05-09 01:29