L’École des cotesFrançais
TSV 1860 München v Erzgebirge Aue
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
TSV 1860 München (Local)
Prévision 48.87%2.05cote équitable
EV -4.70%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -4.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.27%48.86%48.69%50.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.861.851.9557.14%53.69%54.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Erzgebirge Aue (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.10%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.419%
Avantage +0.105%
Kelly +0.140%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.59%25.10%25.30%26.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.554.0032.26%27.81%28.17%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.02%3.84cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%26.04%26.01%27.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.603.7032.26%28.27%27.78%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.419%E +0.105%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.419%E +0.105%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -2.09%E -0.536%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.72%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Suprabets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.26%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.15%EV -9.70%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 17:42 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.22%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.37%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.37%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.72%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -10.88%E -3.06%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -10.88%E -3.06%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 17:56 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.28%EV -14.47%E -8.27%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.27%EV -12.03%E -6.68%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -22.18%E -7.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -19.33%E -6.24%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |