مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
TSV 1860 München v Erzgebirge Aue
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
TSV 1860 München (المضيف)
التنبؤ 48.87%2.05السعر العادل
EV -4.70%
الأفضلية -2.41%
Kelly -4.95%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.27%48.86%48.69%50.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.861.851.9557.14%53.69%54.05%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Erzgebirge Aue (الضيف)
التنبؤ 25.10%3.98السعر العادل
EV +0.419%
الأفضلية +0.105%
Kelly +0.140%
النمو +0.001%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.59%25.10%25.30%26.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.603.554.0032.26%27.81%28.17%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 26.02%3.84السعر العادل
EV -3.72%
الأفضلية -1.00%
Kelly -1.38%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.90%26.04%26.01%27.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.543.603.7032.26%28.27%27.78%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (35 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.419%E +0.105%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.419%E +0.105%K +0.140%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -5.68%E -2.94%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -2.09%E -0.536%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.72%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.65%E -3.48%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.60%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Suprabets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.26%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.15%EV -9.70%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 17:42 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -10.22%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-03 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.37%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -8.37%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.72%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.14%E -3.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-03 17:48 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.61%E -4.60%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -10.88%E -3.06%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.12%E -4.32%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -10.88%E -3.06%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 17:56 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.59%E -5.18%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-03 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -10.56%E -5.77%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -4.70%E -2.41%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.28%EV -14.47%E -8.27%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.27%EV -12.03%E -6.68%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -22.18%E -7.15%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.87%EV -19.33%E -6.24%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (3)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 17:45 |