La scuola delle quote

TSG Hoffenheim II v TSV 1860 München

Inizio: 2026-02-27 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

TSG Hoffenheim II (Casa)

Previsione 34.92%2.86quota equa
EV -3.27%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.03%34.84%34.81%37.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.562.602.7741.67%39.12%38.46%36.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

TSV 1860 München (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.32%2.54quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -1.66%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.63%39.39%39.41%40.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.332.352.4446.51%42.92%42.55%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.75%3.88quota equa
EV -2.13%
Vantaggio -0.561%
Kelly -0.761%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.59%25.76%25.78%26.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.123.543.603.8032.05%28.23%27.78%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.46%EV -3.27%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61%EV -5.23%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.22%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 17:39
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 17:15
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.50%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.28%EV -4.05%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -2.13%E -0.561%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 15:24
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.50%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.28%EV -4.05%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -2.13%E -0.561%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 15:25
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 15:34
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.57%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 17:47
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 17:39
Suprabets2.64I 37.88%NM 34.46%EV -7.81%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 17:39
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 15:35
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 15:34
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:39
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 15:34
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.01%EV -7.19%E -3.05%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 15:34
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 15:44
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 15:35
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 15:24
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-27 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 16:19
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 16:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 16:19
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.95%E -4.30%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.42%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 15:35
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.49%E -6.13%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -15.01%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-27 15:34
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -13.49%E -6.13%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -16.30%E -5.01%K -7.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-27 15:34
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.32%EV -14.45%E -5.90%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -4.44%E -1.83%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 17:29
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:29
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:30
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:29
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:30
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:29
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:29
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:29
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 17:30
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.43%EV -16.19%E -6.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.55%EV -15.45%E -7.19%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.01%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%17.6%2026-02-27 15:44
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 34.66%EV -16.19%E -6.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.69%EV -15.45%E -7.19%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -19.65%E -6.30%K -9.27%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-27 17:26
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.24%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-02-27 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.24%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-02-27 17:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.24%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-02-27 17:40