L’École des cotesFrançais
TSG Hoffenheim II v TSV 1860 München
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
TSG Hoffenheim II (Local)
Prévision 34.92%2.86cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.03%34.84%34.81%37.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.602.7741.67%39.12%38.46%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
TSV 1860 München (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.32%2.54cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.63%39.39%39.41%40.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.352.4446.51%42.92%42.55%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.75%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.561%
Kelly -0.761%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%25.76%25.78%26.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.123.543.603.8032.05%28.23%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.46%EV -3.27%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.61%EV -5.23%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.22%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 17:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -3.97%E -1.44%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.50%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.28%EV -4.05%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -2.13%E -0.561%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.50%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.28%EV -4.05%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -2.13%E -0.561%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 15:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -5.72%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 15:34 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.57%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 17:47 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.46%E -2.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 17:39 |
| Suprabets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.46%EV -7.81%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 15:35 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 15:34 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.51%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-27 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.01%EV -7.19%E -3.05%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 15:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.28%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 15:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 15:35 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 15:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 16:20 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.21%E -3.54%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -10.95%E -4.30%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -3.42%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 15:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.49%E -6.13%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -15.01%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-27 15:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -12.70%E -5.08%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -13.49%E -6.13%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -16.30%E -5.01%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-02-27 15:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.32%EV -14.45%E -5.90%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -4.44%E -1.83%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:30 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:30 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.14%E -6.23%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 17:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.43%EV -16.19%E -6.75%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.55%EV -15.45%E -7.19%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.01%EV -12.43%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-02-27 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.66%EV -16.19%E -6.75%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.69%EV -15.45%E -7.19%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -19.65%E -6.30%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-27 17:26 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.24% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.24% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.24% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 17:40 |