Language:English
SSV Ulm 1846 v FC Ingolstadt 04
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)
Prediction 38.37%2.61fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.19%38.34%38.42%39.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.382.5645.45%42.01%42.02%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)
Prediction 35.34%2.83fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.20%35.47%35.33%36.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.542.552.7542.02%39.37%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.30%3.80fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.371%
Kelly -0.506%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.79%26.20%26.25%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.443.503.7534.72%29.03%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSV Ulm 1846 (Local): 38.37%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 35.34%; Draw: 26.30%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.60%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.65%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.60%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.65%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 04:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 04:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 04:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.07%EV -6.38%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.26%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -1.39%E -0.371%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 11:27 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.43%EV -8.30%E -3.47%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.33%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-15 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 16:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.94%EV -10.22%E -4.37%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.65%EV -7.06%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 16:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -13.67%E -6.08%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-15 15:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -6.08%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.06%EV -13.67%E -6.08%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.98%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.95%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-15 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.03%EV -15.59%E -7.09%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.15%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.82%EV -17.96%E -5.76%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-15 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -15.59%E -7.09%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -24.27%E -8.43%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-03-15 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-03-15 18:20 |