L’École des cotes

SSV Ulm 1846 v FC Ingolstadt 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SSV Ulm 1846 (Local)

Prévision 38.37%2.61cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.696%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.19%38.34%38.42%39.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.382.5645.45%42.01%42.02%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.34%2.83cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.20%35.47%35.33%36.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.542.552.7542.02%39.37%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.30%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.371%
Kelly -0.506%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.79%26.20%26.25%28.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.443.503.7534.72%29.03%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.60%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.65%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.60%EV -1.78%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.65%EV -4.59%E -1.70%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 15:00
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.36%E -2.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 04:10
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.00%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 04:10
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.07%EV -6.38%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -2.82%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.26%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -4.02%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 11:30
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -1.39%E -0.371%K -0.506%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 13:20
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:30
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.42%E -2.83%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.65%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:30
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 17:50
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:27
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 11:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -7.92%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 11:55
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.43%EV -8.30%E -3.47%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.33%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 11:30
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -9.89%E -3.88%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 17:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 18:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 16:25
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 11:55
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.12%E -3.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 16:20
Suprabets2.34I 42.74%NM 38.94%EV -10.22%E -4.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.65%EV -7.06%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.28%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 16:23
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.76%E -5.11%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.66%E -4.66%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 15:30
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -13.67%E -6.08%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-15 15:35
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -13.67%E -6.08%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -13.42%E -5.48%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-15 11:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.06%EV -13.67%E -6.08%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.98%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.95%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 11:20
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 38.03%EV -15.59%E -7.09%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.15%EV -15.90%E -6.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.82%EV -17.96%E -5.76%K -8.47%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-15 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.31%EV -15.59%E -7.09%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.20%EV -15.19%E -6.33%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.50%EV -24.27%E -8.43%K -12.91%G +0.000%21.8%2026-03-15 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-03-15 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-03-15 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-03-15 18:20