The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Schweinfurt v VfB Stuttgart II

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Schweinfurt (Local)

Prediction 19.46%5.14fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.543%
Kelly -0.678%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.72%19.56%19.47%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.544.505.0025.00%22.01%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfB Stuttgart II (Visit)

Prediction 59.22%1.69fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -7.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%59.09%59.18%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.571.6168.97%64.37%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.32%4.69fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.537%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.30%21.35%21.35%24.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.154.104.6028.57%24.07%24.39%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Schweinfurt (Local): 19.46%; VfB Stuttgart II (Visit): 59.22%; Draw: 21.32%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.20%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.20%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:35
Pinnacle🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.66%EV -6.02%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.34%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.00%EV -3.64%E -0.805%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.60%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -1.93%E -0.420%K -0.537%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.60%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.22%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 09:44
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -6.60%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -11.16%E -7.44%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.58%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.33%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 09:45
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -7.58%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.13%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.33%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 12:24
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -8.55%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -4.06%E -0.903%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 09:39
Codere (IT)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -8.55%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.16%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.33%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 09:45
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -10.50%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:46
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.50%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:15
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:14
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:15
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 12:54
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 12:05
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 11:15
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 11:15
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -15.75%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.69%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:50
SportsBet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.75%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -11.16%E -7.44%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -18.28%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.93%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -16.85%E -4.32%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.00%EV -18.28%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.00%EV -11.16%E -7.44%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.00%EV -25.38%E -7.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-21 12:05
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 19.87%EV -18.28%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 57.57%EV -14.13%E -9.74%K -31.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.56%EV -21.12%E -5.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 09:33
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -22.17%E -5.54%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -11.16%E -7.44%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.53%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46%1.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.53%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46%1.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.37%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%2.7%2026-03-21 12:55