L’École des cotes

Schweinfurt v VfB Stuttgart II

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Schweinfurt (Local)

Prévision 19.46%5.14cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.543%
Kelly -0.678%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.72%19.56%19.47%21.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.544.505.0025.00%22.01%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VfB Stuttgart II (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.22%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.65%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -7.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.00%59.09%59.18%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.551.571.6168.97%64.37%63.69%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.32%4.69cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.420%
Kelly -0.537%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.30%21.35%21.35%24.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.154.104.6028.57%24.07%24.39%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.20%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:39
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.65%E -2.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -6.20%E -1.41%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 12:35
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 19.66%EV -6.02%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.34%EV -5.24%E -3.28%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.00%EV -3.64%E -0.805%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 12:50
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.60%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -1.93%E -0.420%K -0.537%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 12:50
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -6.60%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.22%EV -7.26%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 09:44
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -6.60%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -11.16%E -7.44%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 12:25
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -7.58%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.97%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.33%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 09:45
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -7.58%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.13%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -8.33%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 12:24
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -8.55%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -4.06%E -0.903%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 09:39
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -8.55%E -1.82%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.16%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -8.33%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 09:45
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -10.50%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.61%E -4.88%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:46
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.50%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -8.20%E -5.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 12:50
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:15
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:15
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -4.07%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:14
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:15
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:15
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.74%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.07%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:14
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 12:50
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 12:55
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 12:54
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 12:05
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 11:15
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.44%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.46%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-21 11:15
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -15.75%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -7.02%E -4.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.69%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 12:50
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -15.75%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -11.16%E -7.44%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -18.28%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.93%EV -9.39%E -6.14%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -16.85%E -4.32%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.00%EV -18.28%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.00%EV -11.16%E -7.44%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.00%EV -25.38%E -7.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-21 12:05
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 19.87%EV -18.28%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 57.57%EV -14.13%E -9.74%K -31.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.56%EV -21.12%E -5.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-21 09:33
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -22.17%E -5.54%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -11.16%E -7.44%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -14.72%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.53%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46%1.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.53%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46%1.8%2026-03-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.37%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%2.7%2026-03-21 12:55