默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Schweinfurt v Erzgebirge Aue

开赛时间: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

最终结果: Schweinfurt 2–4 Erzgebirge Aue

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Schweinfurt (主队)

预测 33.36%3.00公平赔率
EV -3.26%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -1.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
31.33%33.44%33.40%35.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.762.782.9040.00%36.17%35.97%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Erzgebirge Aue (客队)

预测 42.60%2.35公平赔率
EV -5.43%
优势 -2.45%
Kelly -4.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
40.54%42.62%42.58%44.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.48%47.62%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.04%4.16公平赔率
EV -0.221%
优势 -0.053%
Kelly -0.070%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.15

博彩公司预测分布
22.86%23.94%24.02%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.723.704.1533.33%26.89%27.03%24.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Schweinfurt (主队):33.36%;Erzgebirge Aue (客队):42.60%;平局:24.04%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.16。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.15,期望值为-0.221%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.13%EV -11.82%E -5.71%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -12.67%E -6.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:07
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.82%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.32%EV -8.84%E -4.13%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -0.221%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.93%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.28%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.60%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -6.60%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%EV -10.12%E -4.79%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.51%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.97%EV -5.43%E -2.45%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.51%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.97%EV -5.43%E -2.45%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.55%EV -7.13%E -3.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.55%EV -7.13%E -3.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -6.28%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.69%E -4.57%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 11:25
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -6.28%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -13.27%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -12.67%E -6.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 32.70%EV -14.94%E -5.86%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.77%EV -16.93%E -8.68%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -18.25%E -5.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-16 11:04
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-16 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 32.43%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 40.54%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.03%EV -27.87%E -9.29%K -13.94%G +0.000%23.3%2026-05-16 11:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-16 11:25