A Escola das Odds

Schweinfurt v Erzgebirge Aue

Início: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Final: Schweinfurt 2–4 Erzgebirge Aue

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Schweinfurt (Local)

Previsão 33.36%3.00odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.33%33.44%33.40%35.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.762.782.9040.00%36.17%35.97%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Erzgebirge Aue (Visitante)

Previsão 42.60%2.35odd justa
EV -5.43%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -4.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.54%42.62%42.58%44.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.48%47.62%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.04%4.16odd justa
EV -0.221%
Vantagem -0.053%
Kelly -0.070%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.86%23.94%24.02%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.723.704.1533.33%26.89%27.03%24.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.13%EV -11.82%E -5.71%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -12.67%E -6.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:07
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 32.82%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.32%EV -8.84%E -4.13%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -0.221%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.93%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.28%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.60%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -6.60%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%EV -10.12%E -4.79%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:15
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.51%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.97%EV -5.43%E -2.45%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:25
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.51%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.97%EV -5.43%E -2.45%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.55%EV -7.13%E -3.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:25
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.55%EV -7.13%E -3.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:24
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -6.28%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:25
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.69%E -4.57%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 11:25
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 11:25
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 11:25
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -6.28%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 11:24
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 11:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -13.27%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -12.67%E -6.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 32.70%EV -14.94%E -5.86%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.77%EV -16.93%E -8.68%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -18.25%E -5.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-16 11:04
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-16 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 32.43%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 40.54%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.03%EV -27.87%E -9.29%K -13.94%G +0.000%23.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-16 11:25