La escuela de los momiosSchweinfurt v Erzgebirge Aue
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Schweinfurt (Local)
Predicción 33.36%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.33%33.44%33.40%35.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.762.782.9040.00%36.17%35.97%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Erzgebirge Aue (Visitante)
Predicción 42.60%2.35momio equitativo
EV -5.43%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -4.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.54%42.62%42.58%44.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.48%47.62%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.04%4.16momio equitativo
EV -0.221%
Ventaja -0.053%
Kelly -0.070%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.86%23.94%24.02%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.723.704.1533.33%26.89%27.03%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.13%EV -11.82%E -5.71%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -12.67%E -6.18%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 11:07 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -3.26%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -12.25%E -5.94%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.82%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.32%EV -8.84%E -4.13%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -0.221%E -0.053%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -4.93%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.28%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.60%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -6.60%E -2.36%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%EV -10.12%E -4.79%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.51%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.97%EV -5.43%E -2.45%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.51%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.97%EV -5.43%E -2.45%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.55%EV -7.13%E -3.27%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.26%E -2.61%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.55%EV -7.13%E -3.27%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -7.43%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -6.28%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.00%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.69%E -4.57%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.27%E -3.01%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.93%E -3.68%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -6.28%E -2.86%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.83%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -12.60%E -4.81%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.12%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -13.45%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.21%EV -13.27%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.12%EV -12.67%E -6.18%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.67%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.70%EV -14.94%E -5.86%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.77%EV -16.93%E -8.68%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -18.25%E -5.37%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-05-16 11:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 32.43%EV -16.60%E -6.64%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 40.54%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.03%EV -27.87%E -9.29%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 23.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |