Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Schweinfurt v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Schweinfurt (Local)

Prediction 17.77%5.63fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.224%
Kelly +0.272%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.41%17.63%17.85%21.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.804.805.7023.26%20.82%20.83%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit)

Prediction 60.22%1.66fair odd
EV -0.640%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.984%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.33%60.39%60.05%62.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.551.541.6569.44%64.55%64.94%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.01%4.54fair odd
EV +0.163%
Edge +0.036%
Kelly +0.046%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%21.97%22.10%23.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.014.004.5528.57%24.94%25.00%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Schweinfurt (Local): 17.77%; 1. FC Saarbrücken (Visit): 60.22%; Draw: 22.01%. For Schweinfurt (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +1.28%E +0.224%K +0.272%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 17:04
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -2.28%E -0.414%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 14:15
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -2.28%E -0.414%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.67%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV +0.163%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.67%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV +0.163%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 17:30
Pinnacle🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.86%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.05%EV -0.718%E -0.159%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 14:19
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 12:24
NordicBet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -8.50%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.64%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:24
Betsson🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -8.50%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.64%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:24
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 12:24
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 12:29
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 18:23
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 18:20
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:24
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 15:34
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -14.15%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-01 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.71%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.71%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 13:35
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.71%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 13:35
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.71%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 13:34
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -15.60%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.45%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -16.35%E -4.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-01 16:04
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -20.04%E -4.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-01 13:54
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.56%EV -20.04%E -4.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 57.59%EV -12.68%E -8.75%K -28.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.86%EV -22.95%E -6.56%K -9.18%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-01 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 18.48%EV -20.04%E -4.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 57.76%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -22.95%E -6.56%K -9.18%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-01 17:25
LeoVegas🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -22.71%E -5.22%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -0.640%E -0.388%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.15%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 18:49
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:50
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%2.1%2026-03-01 18:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%2.1%2026-03-01 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.09%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%2.7%2026-03-01 18:25