L’École des cotes

Schweinfurt v 1. FC Saarbrücken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Schweinfurt (Local)

Prévision 17.77%5.63cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.224%
Kelly +0.272%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.41%17.63%17.85%21.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.804.805.7023.26%20.82%20.83%17.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.22%1.66cote équitable
EV -0.640%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.984%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.33%60.39%60.05%62.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.551.541.6569.44%64.55%64.94%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.01%4.54cote équitable
EV +0.163%
Avantage +0.036%
Kelly +0.046%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.05%21.97%22.10%23.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.014.004.5528.57%24.94%25.00%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +1.28%E +0.224%K +0.272%G +0.003%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.923%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 17:04
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -2.28%E -0.414%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -8.47%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 14:15
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -2.28%E -0.414%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -10.88%E -7.35%K -22.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:19
LowVig.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.67%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV +0.163%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 17:29
BetOnline.ag5.25I 19.05%NM 18.26%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.67%EV -4.86%E -3.07%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV +0.163%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 17:30
Pinnacle5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.86%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.05%EV -0.718%E -0.159%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 14:19
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.06%E -3.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:35
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.72%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 12:24
NordicBet5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -8.50%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.64%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:24
Betsson5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -8.50%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.64%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 12:24
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 12:24
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 12:29
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -7.26%E -4.72%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 18:23
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.87%E -5.14%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 18:20
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:24
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:24
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 15:24
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 15:34
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -11.16%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -14.15%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-01 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.71%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.71%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 13:35
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.71%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 13:35
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.71%E -3.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-01 13:34
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -15.60%E -3.28%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.45%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -16.35%E -4.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-01 16:04
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -20.04%E -4.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -11.94%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-01 13:54
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 18.56%EV -20.04%E -4.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 57.59%EV -12.68%E -8.75%K -28.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.86%EV -22.95%E -6.56%K -9.18%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-01 09:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.48%EV -20.04%E -4.45%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 57.76%EV -13.29%E -9.23%K -30.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -22.95%E -6.56%K -9.18%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-01 17:25
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.04%EV -22.71%E -5.22%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -0.640%E -0.388%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -14.15%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-24 18:49
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:50
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:50
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:50
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -23.60%E -5.49%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -1.24%E -0.757%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -15.25%E -3.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-24 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%2.1%2026-03-01 18:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.62%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%2.1%2026-03-01 18:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.09%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%2.7%2026-03-01 18:25