Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Verl v Jahn Regensburg

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Verl (Local)

Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -7.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.35%56.69%56.67%58.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.631.631.6865.36%61.25%61.35%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jahn Regensburg (Visit)

Prediction 20.64%4.85fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.813%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.88%20.69%20.63%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.354.304.7026.32%23.00%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.69%4.41fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.563%
Kelly -0.734%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%22.62%22.70%24.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.923.804.3028.57%25.53%26.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Verl (Local): 56.67%; Jahn Regensburg (Visit): 20.64%; Draw: 22.69%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -2.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -3.01%E -0.640%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -3.56%E -0.837%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -3.01%E -0.640%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -3.56%E -0.837%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.21%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.55%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.24%EV -3.10%E -0.726%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.49%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.49%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -12.63%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 16:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 16:15
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.64%EV -8.17%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -8.09%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 16:16
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.64%EV -8.17%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -8.09%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 16:15
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:20
Suprabets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -10.64%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 16:30
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-03 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-03 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-03 16:31
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -3.01%E -0.640%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.42%E -0.563%K -0.734%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 17:55
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.85%EV -9.89%E -6.22%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -11.03%E -7.02%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-03 15:51
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -12.16%E -7.85%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -17.45%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-03 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -13.29%E -8.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-03 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 54.35%EV -13.29%E -8.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.88%EV -21.58%E -5.68%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -20.58%E -5.88%K -8.23%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-03 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-03-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-03-03 17:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-03-03 17:25