L’École des cotes

SC Verl v Jahn Regensburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Verl (Local)

Prévision 56.67%1.76cote équitable
EV -4.79%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -7.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.35%56.69%56.67%58.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.631.631.6865.36%61.25%61.35%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jahn Regensburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.64%4.85cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -0.640%
Kelly -0.813%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.88%20.69%20.63%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.354.304.7026.32%23.00%23.26%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.69%4.41cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.563%
Kelly -0.734%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.70%22.62%22.70%24.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.923.804.3028.57%25.53%26.32%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -3.01%E -0.640%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -3.56%E -0.837%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 17:50
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -3.01%E -0.640%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -3.56%E -0.837%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 17:50
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 17:25
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 17:25
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 57.21%EV -5.93%E -3.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.55%EV -4.66%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.24%EV -3.10%E -0.726%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 16:35
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.49%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 17:15
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.49%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 16:15
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 15:35
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.24%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 16:15
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -11.26%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -12.63%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 16:31
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 16:15
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.64%EV -8.17%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -8.09%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 16:16
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.69%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.64%EV -8.17%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.68%EV -8.09%E -2.00%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 16:15
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:20
Suprabets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -10.64%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 16:30
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-03 16:30
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-03 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-03 16:31
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -3.01%E -0.640%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.42%E -0.563%K -0.734%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 17:55
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 17:55
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 56.85%EV -9.89%E -6.22%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-03 15:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -11.03%E -7.02%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.20%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-03 15:51
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -12.16%E -7.85%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -17.45%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-03 14:50
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -13.29%E -8.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-03 15:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 54.35%EV -13.29%E -8.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.88%EV -21.58%E -5.68%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -20.58%E -5.88%K -8.23%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-03 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-03-03 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-03-03 17:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.93%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.6%2026-03-03 17:25