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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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SC Verl v FC Würzburger Kickers

Início: 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC

Final: SC Verl 2–1 FC Würzburger Kickers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Verl (Local)

Previsão 46.24%2.16odd justa
EV -5.20%
Vantagem -2.54%
Kelly -4.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.53%46.27%46.42%48.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.19%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Visitante)

Previsão 28.90%3.46odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.507%
Kelly -0.718%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%28.95%28.66%30.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.173.133.4035.71%31.58%32.00%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.85%4.02odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -0.723%
Kelly -0.971%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.70%24.78%24.92%25.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.633.653.9130.30%27.54%27.40%25.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SC Verl (Local): 46.24%; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visitante): 28.90%; Empate: 24.85%. Para FC Würzburger Kickers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.46. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.40, com valor esperado de -1.72%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 13:45
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:44
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.89%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.76%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.35%EV -2.83%E -0.723%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.01%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 11:55
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:44
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 17:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.50%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 11:15
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Suprabets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.67%EV -8.29%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 11:32
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.14%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.17%EV -7.22%E -2.25%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.52%E -3.56%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 08:45
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 11:54
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -10.29%E -5.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -10.29%E -5.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -10.29%E -5.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:10
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.68%E -6.11%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 08:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -11.68%E -6.11%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 13:18
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.53%E -7.23%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.50%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 08:45
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -13.53%E -7.23%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.50%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 44.75%EV -13.53%E -7.23%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.89%EV -19.07%E -6.81%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.36%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%19.5%2026-09-18 14:40
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 44.75%EV -13.53%E -7.23%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.89%EV -19.07%E -6.81%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.36%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%19.5%2026-09-18 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -14.45%E -7.81%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -14.45%E -7.81%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-18 08:40
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.51%EV -14.91%E -8.11%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.28%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-18 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -16.75%E -5.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 11:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 13:50