L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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SC Verl v FC Würzburger Kickers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC

Score final : SC Verl 2–1 FC Würzburger Kickers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Verl (Local)

Prévision 46.24%2.16cote équitable
EV -5.20%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -4.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.53%46.27%46.42%48.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.19%51.28%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Würzburger Kickers (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.90%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.507%
Kelly -0.718%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.95%28.66%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.173.133.4035.71%31.58%32.00%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.85%4.02cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -0.723%
Kelly -0.971%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.70%24.78%24.92%25.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.653.9130.30%27.54%27.40%25.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Verl (Local) : 46.24% ; FC Würzburger Kickers (Visiteur) : 28.90% ; Match nul : 24.85%. Pour FC Würzburger Kickers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.46. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.40, pour une espérance de -1.72% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 13:45
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:44
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.89%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.76%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.35%EV -2.83%E -0.723%K -0.971%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.01%EV -6.13%E -3.02%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 11:55
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:44
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-18 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.61%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 17:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.50%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 11:15
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Suprabets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.90%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.67%EV -8.29%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 11:32
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.14%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.17%EV -7.22%E -2.25%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.69%EV -12.52%E -3.56%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 08:45
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 11:54
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.83%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 10:30
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -10.29%E -5.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -10.29%E -5.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -10.29%E -5.30%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.75%E -5.57%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -1.72%E -0.507%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.29%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 17:10
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.68%E -6.11%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 08:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -11.68%E -6.11%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 13:18
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -13.53%E -7.23%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.50%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 08:45
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -13.53%E -7.23%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.50%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-18 14:04
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 44.75%EV -13.53%E -7.23%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.89%EV -19.07%E -6.81%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.36%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%19.5%2026-09-18 14:40
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 44.75%EV -13.53%E -7.23%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.89%EV -19.07%E -6.81%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.36%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%19.5%2026-09-18 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -14.45%E -7.81%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.61%EV -14.45%E -7.81%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -13.29%E -4.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-18 08:40
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.51%EV -14.91%E -8.11%K -17.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.28%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-18 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -15.38%E -8.40%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -16.75%E -5.82%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 13:50